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India vs Australia Champions Trophy 2025 Semifinal: What is probability of losing a toss 14 times in a row?

India loses its 14th straight toss to Australia in the Champions Trophy 2025 semifinal, with a probability of 0.0061%. Rohit Sharma loses his 11th consecutive toss as captain.

Senior Writer by Senior Writer
March 4, 2025
in Champions Trophy, Cricket, Cricket news, Featured, India, News, sports
Reading Time: 2 mins read
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India vs Australia Champions Trophy 2025 Semifinal: What is probability of losing a toss 14 times in a row?

At this stage in cricket, Rohit Sharma‘s incredible run of bad luck with the coin toss has become a hot topic of discussion. India lost the toss for the fourteenth time in a row, and he lost it for the eleventh time in a row. Interestingly, this also includes the pivotal ICC Champions Trophy 2025 semifinal matchup with Australia. Although it may seem hard to comprehend, this is mathematically doable, albeit extremely uncommon. The odds of losing a toss 14 times in a row are only 0.0061%, or 1 in 16,384 chances.

In comparison, Peter Borren has lost tosses 11 times and Brian Lara has lost them 12 times in a row. India has performed admirably in spite of this strange run, winning all three of its group-stage matches despite being denied the option to bat or bowl first.

The significance of winning the toss in high-stakes matches, particularly in Dubai, was emphasized by former cricket player and broadcaster Aakash Chopra. The teams batting first have typically performed well at this pitch, especially when they score more over 250. Although India overcame the toss deficit in the group stage, it is a completely different matter when they play a powerful side like Australia in the semi-final.

Nevertheless, Rohit Sharma has handled the matter calmly, even jokingly stating that he has “sworn not to win the toss but also not to lose the match.” This demonstrates his belief in India’s capacity to perform in spite of the pivotal toss results. While the toss can provide a tactical advantage, experts concur that a team’s attitude toward the game and performance ultimately matter more.

Although skill and strategy eventually determine the result, cricket is unpredictable and luck is a major factor. Whether Rohit’s losing toss streak lasts or eventually ends, his leadership and India’s impressive achievements have demonstrated that winning is more about a team’s strategy than the outcome of the coin toss.

It’s preferable to lose the toss when you’re not sure about something: The Sharman

Remarkably, Rohit Sharma believed that it was always beneficial to lose a toss and have a target in sight when a captain was uncertain of how a pitch would behave. He implied that India would like to bat second because different types of strips are utilized in Dubai, depending on the track that was used on the day of the game. In addition, he said that playing under these circumstances was still difficult.

Amazingly, India has consistently had luck at the toss in terms of outcomes.

Notably, despite losing the toss, the Men in Blue have won every game in the current Champions Trophy. Whether missing the toss in a crucial Champions Trophy quarterfinal matchup against Australia would prove to be a lucky break or not will only become clear with time.

“I was ready to do both. The way the wickets have been played has changed. Losing the toss is preferable when you are conflicted. Each of the three games we’ve played here has been unique. The pitch’s nature is constantly shifting. Every pitch has its unique style. The slower bowlers have been excellent. “We are sticking with the same team because of this,” Rohit stated during the toss.

Tags: CHAMPIONS TROPHY 2025INDIARohit Sharma
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